Utah economic picture couldn't get any
better
By Jenifer K. Nii
Deseret Morning News
All that's missing, it seems, is Jack Nicholson.
A report released Tuesday confirms that Utah's economy right
now is "as good as it gets," and the future looks just as
bright.
The Zions Bank report touts continued low unemployment,
healthy job growth and blue sky on the horizon, backing up Gov.
Jon Huntsman Jr.'s assertion that Utah's economy is "the hottest
in the nation."
"That's what the numbers show. We've got the number one
housing market. We've got the number one job creation market. So
life is good at the moment," said Jeff Thredgold, president of
Thredgold Economic Associates and economic consultant to Zions
Bank.
The bank's Small Business Index, a measure of business
conditions from the viewpoint of the small-business owner or
manager, was up to 104.9 in April from a revised 104.5 in March.
The index uses 100 for calendar year 1997 as its base and
includes revisions to various historical or forecast components
as they become available. A higher figure is associated with
favorable business conditions.
Utah's jobless rate, the most heavily weighted component of
the index, was estimated at 2.4 percent in March, the most
recent data available, up from 2.3 percent in the prior month. A
higher unemployment rate is a positive contributor to the index,
because it implies greater access to labor.
Another factor in the index, total employment, rose by about
53,500 jobs over the past 12 months, a 4.5 percent increase,
Thredgold reported. That gain had a positive effect on the
index, because it suggests better income creation and stronger
retail spending.
"The issues we've been talking about for the past few years,
of tight labor markets, have just become more serious issues,"
Thredgold said. "The fact that job growth is very strong is
obviously very good news.
"There are 11 major employment sectors in Utah, and all 11
are adding jobs. So it's not just the lower-skilled, lower-wage
jobs. It's higher-end jobs in engineering, in architecture,
accounting, financial services and law. Construction is still
very strong. And as we see, potentially, some slowdown in the
single housing construction side, we see these huge commercial
products that will keep people busy for a long time."
There are also other, broader indications that Utah's
economic future is bright, Thredgold said.
"I don't really see anything on the horizon that's going to
blow us out of the water," he said. "The U.S. economy is likely
to get modestly stronger as we go further into 2007 and into
2008. That will help the regional economy, which is the
strongest region in the country. The global economy is doing
extremely well, which provides opportunities for Utah companies
to sell products around the world, and invites people from
around the world with money to spend to come to this country,
this region and this state.
"In terms of economic performance right now, it's about as
good as it gets." |