Utah economy is going strong
By Jenifer K. Nii
Deseret Morning News
Their loss is Utah's gain.
Deseret Morning News Graphic While states and regions around
the country are reporting bursting housing bubbles and slowing
job growth, Utah's economy remains strong, according to a report
released Tuesday by the state's Department of Workforce
Services.
"Intuition would imply that Utah would benefit from a
stronger United States economy — the thinking that a rising sea
lifts all ships," the department's senior economist, Mark Knold,
wrote in the report. "But currently Utah is actually in a better
position from a weaker United States economy than if the greater
United States economy would find more solid footing and grow at
a faster pace, employing more workers."
Utah's jobless rate, 2.5 percent in April, benefits from the
excess labor that a suffering larger economy provides, Knold
wrote. Workers likely would stay where they were, instead of
heeding Utah's call for labor. And the state's employment
growth, 4.5 percent last month, would slow.
Instead, Knold said, "Our 4.5 percent employment growth
(rate) leads the nation." high
"It's not like we sprinted past Nevada and Arizona. It's like
we stood still and watched them slip past us, going downward,"
Knold said. "They're more vulnerable to the national problem
that's going on right now, which is the housing bust."
Utah didn't add much air to the current bubble, Knold said.
Not much Utah money went into the speculative housing market —
people shifting money from stocks to real estate as a way to
make a profit. And the growth the Utah market is seeing now, he
said, has more to do with demographics than making a buck.
"This spike that we're seeing here in the last three to four
years in Utah's residential construction, there's not much
speculation in it," he said. "It's really an actual demographic
thing. It has solid foundational footing. It's not something
that's producing a vacuum that's going to collapse like we've
seen on a national basis.
"I feel pretty good about Utah's overall housing market in
relation to — or contrasted against — the national housing
market."
All but one of the 11 job categories measured by the
department reported year-over growth. Construction led the way,
adding 14,000 jobs, followed by the trade, transportation and
utilities sector, which brought on 9,500 new workers over the
past 12 months.
Only the information sector went into the red, losing 200
jobs. Knold attributed this more to a redistribution of jobs
than to a loss.
"On paper, that's really an accounting change, and not so
much a reality change," he said. When AOL sold its Ogden call
center to Teleperformance USA last year, its 400 jobs were
shifted from the information sector to the professional and
business services category, which added 9,100 jobs during the
year-over period.
Looking ahead, Knold said the construction industry should
continue in its lead position for at least the next few years,
even as the industry shifts from residential to commercial
construction.
All told, Knold said he likes what he sees.
"We're in a growth spurt. We're riding a high wave right now
in the state of Utah," he said. "It's very difficult to see
anything to be worried about on the horizon, at least the
short-term, immediate horizon." |